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6/30/2009

Very light on the fantasy news lately.  I could just kill time by positing pictures of cheerleaders, player’s myspace pages or junk from The Onion.

But leading up to training camp, we’ll give you a work-in-progress view of The Roundtable’s exclusive 100% Correct pre-season rankings.  Now up, Wide Receivers of the AFC North.

Baltimore
The Ravens led the league in rushing attempts last season.  After making it to Conference championship game there’s little reason to think that Baltimore will open up the offence, even though rook Joe Flacco played pretty well, just missing 3,000 yards passing.  At this juncture, we’ll figure Raven’s receivers to more or less produce what they did last season.

Derrick Mason: 80 receptions/1000 yards/5 TDs, low #2/high #3 Fantasy Wide Receiver
Mark Clayton: 45/800/3, bye-weeker/roster filler
Demetrius Williams/Marcus Smith: fantasy free agents

Cincinnati
Carson Palmer’s back in the fold and the Bengals found a running game at the end of the season.  Bob Bratkowski’s been the offensive coordinator since 2001, so you’ll know what to expect if all the skill parts are in place.  If you go with Ochocinco beware for the unexpected; trade demands, suspension, general-jerk-ery.  Laveranues Coles could be the pick here.  He’ll fit right in to the possession receiver role where Houshmandzadeh went over 90 receptions the last three years.

Chad Ochocinco: 90/1400/8, #1 WR is the career average save last year; but we’ll be watching through the pre-season.
Laveranues Coles: 90/1000/6, high #2.  Wouldn’t be surprised to see that reception number higher.
Chris Henry/Andre Caldwell: filler/Ochocinco insurance.  The third WR doesn’t do much historically in this offence, but might be worth a handcuff if you’re going with eight-five.

Cleveland
The Browns tried real hard to deal Braylon Edwards, but couldn’t get the first and third rounders they were looking for.  A Roundtable investigation showed that Edwards case of the drops were just as much his crap QBs fault as it was his own.  If Edwards gets dealt somewhere, he immediately becomes a solid #1 guy again.  Cleveland looks set to start either rooks Brian Robiskie or Mohamed Massaquoi; look for defensive secondarys to put the lid on Braylon and take their chances with the rookies.  We just don’t see Brady Quinn being an NFL QB so look for a tough fantasy season for all involved.

Braylon Edwards: 60/950/6, high #3
Robiskie/Massaquoi: late round rookie flyers that shouldn’t be counted on
David Patten: 30/400/3:  roster filler, if you’re a Browns fan

Pittsburgh
Other than losing their third WR Nate Washington to free agency, you’ve got same offensive system and the same cast of characters.  Hines Ward is another year older, but you have to consider him a solid fantasy option and the Steelers #1 guy until he proves otherwise.  No reason to think that he’s lost the mantle to Mr. Super Bowl Catch.  Santonio Holmes had a great Super Bowl, four catches 73 yards and the TD on that final drive; but those numbers would have been his second best game of his entire season.  We’ll bet that someone in your league will take him higher than he’s worth based on that performance.  If it was his time to overtake Ward, we would have seen it at the end of last year.  In the last three games of the regular season and the playoffs, Ward went for 30 receptions/454 yards and a TD; Holmes 24/371/2, about the same historic reception/yards ratio between the Steelers first and second WRs.  Ward still being the first choice.  Want to think that Limus Sweed will develop into a big play guy, but it’s hard to see how he’ll get two or three catches a game with all the other weapons in this offence.

Hines Ward: 80/1000/5, low #2
Santonio Holmes: 60/900/7,high #3
Limus Sweed: 40/600/7, low #3/bye weaker.  Think he’ll get just enough jump balls in the end zone to make himself worth a fantasy roster spot.

   

First Pass Previews: Wide Receivers of the AFC East.

Buffalo
Signing Terrell Owens was a risk and an out-of-the-box move for the Bills front office.  Owens hasn’t met a QB he didn’t find fault with so it’s doubtful that he’ll play nice with Trent Edwards.  Edwards showed flashes of decency while finishing last season as the league’s seventeenth rated passer, but were no going to expect too much more output in 2009.  The Bills run first, Edwards didn’t have a 300 yard game last year and threw for only eleven TDs.  Owens at the ripe age of 35, will obviously be the number one guy (taking fantasy numbers away from Lee Evans) but that won’t mean a great deal in a run first offence.

Terrell Owens: 70 receptions/1000 yards/6 TDs, low #2/high #3 Fantasy Wide Receiver
Lee Evans: 50/800/4, low #3
Josh Reed: 40/600/2, bench filler/injury cover
James Hardy: unknown, coming back from injury

Miami
We’d be cautious here.  The Dolphins spread receptions around a lot in 2008; six dudes caught more than 30 passes last season, none caught more than 56.  Early indications are that Greg Camarillo looks healthy after tearing his ACL in Week 12 last year. After Camarillo went out Ted Ginn had the opportunity to impress but squandered it with mediocre fantasy numbers.  Davone Bess pulled in almost six receptions a game in the last six weeks of the season, but didn’t get much yardage and didn’t find the end zone.  You’re not going to get a consistent enough performance from any of Miami’s WRs to make them a fixture on your fantasy squad.

Greg Camarillo: 65/900/5, #3, but could be a value pick late
Ted Ginn: 60/850/3, low #3/bye weaker
Davone Bess: 40/500/2, undrafted

New England
With Brady on the shelf for all but the first few minutes of 2008, the Pats receivers still but up #1 type numbers under replacement Matt Cassel.  We’re not going to think that this corps will return to their 2007 Fantasy Hall of Fame numbers.  In fact, we’re not going to say that there will be much of an improvement from last season with Brady back in the fold.  New England protected Cassel running the ball about 15% more than they did in 2007, but just about as much as they ran in 2006.  Expect this season to look more like 2006 than 2007 as the Pats won’t be pressing from another perfect (regular) season.  Moss should have another #1 year, but we’ve never liked how Welker doesn’t get in the end zone.  His eight TD year in ‘07 was nice, but when you consider Brady threw for 50, Welker didn’t see his share, even with Brady going for 35 TDs this season; Welker might not see more than five.

Randy Moss: 75/1100/12, #1, should be one of the top five WRs taken
Wes Welker: 100/1200/5, low #1 with the yardage and consistent performances making up for the lack of TDs.  If you get points for receptions, he could also be in your top five.
Greg Lewis & Joey Galloway: 40/500/4 each, undrafted/injury cover

New York Jets
Looks like Matt Sanchez will start from darn near game one.  If you think he’s another Matt Ryan, the Jets WRs won’t be half bad.  If you think he’ll struggle like the other 90% of rookie QBs, the Jets WRs will have a tough year.  Brian Schottenheimer is still the Jets Offensive Coordinator, so we’re not going to expect much of a scheme change.  At the top end we’re going to expect the Jets to lean on Jerricho Cotchery more this year with Laveranues Coles out of the picture.  But whatever you do here, remember that a rookie QB will be throwing the ball.  We’re going to run on the assumption that the Jets will show some sense and not pick up Plaxico.

Jerricho Cotchery: 75/1000/6, low/mid-#2
Brad Smith & Chansi Stuckey: 50/600/3, bye weekers/filler
David Clowney: Could be a wild card and available deep in drafts.  Keep your eyes out during preseason if he challenges for a starting job.


6/17/2009

Jonathan Steward says he’ll be ready for camp.  He had “pain” in his Achilles’ tendon in the off season.  Not good news, but at least it’s not a tear.  We’ll be watching the situation as camp starts.

Ochocinco’s going to crash with Carson Palmer in July.  Can’t figure this one out, tons of cribs available in Cincinnati.

Jerome Simpson and Andre Caldwell are in the Cincinnati’s WR PT mix with Chris Henry and Laveranues Coles.  Unknown where they’ll be staying in July.

Said it on draft day and will say it again;  Brandon Pettigrew will overcome his Lion-ness and be a half-way decent fantasy TE.

Baltimore may be interested in disgruntled Brandon Marshall.  First and Third round picks seem to be the going price even though that’s what the Browns and the Cards were looking and didn’t get for Braylon Edwards and Anquan Boldin.  Marshall’s numbers were going to slip with Kyle Orton at the helm anyway and he’ll have little chance of breaking the 104/1265/6 he put up last year if he’s in Baltimore.

In case you were wondering, the Saints General Manager confirms they have no plans to sign Mike Vick.

The Vikings deadline for Favre to make up his mind is July 29; their being very thorough in their evaluation.

To wrap up a story we had been following all last season; weed charges against Santonio Holmes were dropped.


6/7/2009

Plaxico Burress tries to get that little gun thing squared away so he can play in 2009.  The Bears players want him.

Matt Forte heard a pop.

Rundown of Atlanta’s fantasy dudes from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.

Ray Rice practices with starters; Willis McGahee’s running with the second squad.

Add Dallas to the list of teams that will bust out the single-wing this season.

We got some mad props from The Fantasy Football Blogger in their 2 Fantasy Football Sites I Like feature.  Many thanks.

6/1/2009

The Vikings have put in about 20-30 plays for Percy Harvin in their version of (as this AP article correctly refers to it) the single-wing.

The Broncos released 
J.J. Arrington so now they’re down to 17 dudes at RB.  I figured Arrington would get some receptions; kind of play the Kevin Faulk role in ex-Pat Josh McDaniels’ offence. 

Is this 
Ted Ginn Jr’s year?

DeAngelo Williams 
doesn’t like LeBron James

Chris Simms is getting more 
first team snaps than Kyle Orton in passing camp.  I don’t think that’s good for anybody.  Bronco fans or Brandon Marshall.  The Roundtable examined how Braylon Edwards crap season last year was due more to the crap Browns QBs rather than Edwards’ performance.  Be on the look-out for the same situation for Marshall in ’09.

Speaking of: Braylon Edwards hit a 
home run while taking BP with the Indians.

 

 

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